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Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN)

Industrials

No action
Fundamental
3
Sentiment
3
Technical
2

Do Nothing: 20-day average dollar volume ≈ $3.16M is below the $5M liquidity floor, disqualifying both entry types — a pullback/oversold limit is also countertrend-blocked (price 9.01 below SMA50 10.40 with MACD -0.37 < 0, and below a declining SMA200 with no momentum reclaim), and a breakout stop above the 09-17 swing high 9.40 (structural stop 8.80, R/R ≈ 1.31) fails the same universal liquidity floor.

Analysis as of 2026-09-18· more than 2 trading days ago

Company overview

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. is a specialized construction company operating in the building, industrial, and infrastructure sectors across the U.S., Alaska, Canada, and the Caribbean. It operates through two main divisions: Marine, which offers services like construction, dredging, and maintenance of marine infrastructure, and Concrete, which focuses on concrete construction services for light commercial and structural applications.

Fundamental

fair
Fundamental3
Mixed fundamentals

Orion's fundamentals show improvement but face challenges with leverage and cash-flow volatility.

Mixed fundamentals: FY2025 returned to profitability, but 2026 interim results show margin/earnings pressure and higher acquisition-driven leverage. Valuation looks cheap on EV/Sales, yet cash flow and interest coverage remain weak; execution and deleveraging are key to upgrading the story.

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Forming sentiment

Sentiment is mildly positive with insider buying but lacks strong catalysts.

Dominant near-term catalyst is a fresh C-suite insider-buying cluster (announced confidence; CEO stake lift to 710,485 shares plus CFO and insider purchases reported 2026-09-17); the sentiment delta is determinate but mild (baseline ≈ -0.01 → scoring +0.10, screener-grade), retail interest is absent, and the Red-Flag Screen is clean — leaving a mixed, forming setup with an empty forward calendar.

Technical

weak
Technical2
Falling knife

The stock is in a downtrend with low liquidity and no clear entry setup.

Strong ADX-confirmed downtrend: the 09-18 close (9.005) sits below the SMA20 (9.20), SMA50 (10.40) and SMA200 (12.08), and below EMA9 (9.11) / EMA21 (9.35), after a ~48% slide from the June high (17.40) toward the 52-week-low zone (8.00). Momentum is only repairing at the margin — MACD line (-0.37) is above its signal (-0.46) with a positive histogram (0.09) since early September, but the line remains below zero and RSI14 (38.56) is weak; Williams %R (-79.51) is near oversold. ATR14 is 0.40 (~4.4% of price). The 20-day average dollar volume (~$3.16M) fails the $5M liquidity floor, and a pullback/oversold limit would be countertrend (price < SMA50 with MACD < 0; below a declining SMA200 without a reclaim), so this bounce-only chart in a falling trend carries no tradable bullish setup. Score 2.

You’re looking at 2026-09-18 — more than 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.