Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)
Industrials
- Fundamental
- 3
- Sentiment
- 3
- Technical
- 3
Bullish: buy-stop 24.70 above the settled 2026-09-21 high 24.65 confirms a base breakout off higher lows (22.22 -> 23.80) with a fresh EMA9/EMA21 crossover and an expanding MACD histogram. Structure stop 22.63 below the 09-18 swing low 22.91; targets 27.48 / 29.57; R/R 1.34. A pullback limit was rejected by the trend-alignment gate (below a declining SMA200 with macdLine < 0); the breakout stop is the tradeable vehicle.
Company overview
Ameresco, Inc. is a clean technology integrator that provides energy efficiency and sustainable energy generation solutions across the U.S., Canada, and global markets. The company offers services such as energy efficiency strategies, infrastructure improvements, and renewable energy system deployment. Its operations include building and managing small-scale power generation facilities and providing energy management solutions.
Fundamental
fairAMRC shows growth and backlog expansion but faces high leverage and thin profitability, leading to mixed fundamentals.
AMRC is growing and backlog is expanding (SEC 10-Q for 2026-06-30 cites backlog around $6.7B), but profitability is thin (TTM net margin ~1.4%) and leverage is high (net debt/EBITDA ~7.6x; Altman Z ~1.1). The latest 10-Q also reports a lien-provision default under a sale-leaseback agreement with temporary waivers through 2026. Overall: mixed fundamentals with elevated financing/cash-flow risk (fundamentalScore 3/5).
Sentiment
fairMedia coverage is mixed with both positive and negative narratives, and retail sentiment is indeterminate.
A two-sided tape: a fresh sell-side cut to Sell (Wall Street Zen, 2026-09-19, announced) and a CFO transition to named interim successors (effective 2026-09-08, announced) are offset by a federal project win (DEA El Paso Intelligence Center, 2026-09-18, announced) and lingering analyst Buy support; the media sentiment delta is determinate but flat (aggregator-tier baseline +0.067 vs scoring +0.013), retail velocity is indeterminate, and a moderate red-flag cap applies for conflicting catalyst signals.
Technical
fairAMRC is showing signs of a technical recovery with a fresh EMA crossover and improving short-term momentum.
Trend frame: price 24.08 > SMA20 22.76, > SMA50 23.51, > EMA9 23.36, > EMA21 23.32 with a fresh EMA9/EMA21 bullish crossover on 09-21 and higher lows since 09-15; but price remains below the SMA200 (27.98) with SMA50 < SMA200, so the primary trend is still declining. Momentum: RSI14 53.51 neutral-bullish, Williams %R -18.87, MACD line -0.12 still below zero yet histogram +0.21 positive and expanding; ADX 10.54 is weak. Volume: avgDollarVolume20 $16.0M vs $5M floor. Mixed read with repairing short-term structure against a declining 200-day -> technicalScore 3. The pullback/oversold limit alternative was rejected by the trend-alignment SMA200 clause (price below a declining SMA200 with macdLine < 0 and no confirmed momentum reclaim); the breakout buy-stop entry is exempt from that gate and is the tradeable vehicle.
You’re looking at 2026-09-21 — more than 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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