Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (ESRT)
Real Estate
- Fundamental
- 4
- Sentiment
- 2
- Technical
- 2
Do Nothing: qualitativeScore is 2 (below the required floor of 3) — upstream screen flagged sentiment deterioration (repeated 12-month lows, consensus-sell target cuts, dividend-payout concern) with no offsetting catalyst; shadow branch not eligible (flag false), so the qualitative override hard-blocks any bullish entry. Independently, the chart also fails the technicalScore ≥ 3 criterion: price below SMA20/50/200 with ADX 32.6 and MACD < 0 is a strong DOWN trend (technicalScore 2), so no trend-aligned bullish setup exists either.
Company overview
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: ESRT) is a real estate investment trust focused on commercial office and retail properties in the New York metropolitan area. Its portfolio includes the Empire State Building and spans 10.1 million rentable square feet, with significant holdings in Manhattan, Connecticut, and Westchester County. The company is noted for its energy efficiency and indoor environmental quality initiatives.
Fundamental
goodESRT maintains stable revenues and liquidity but faces risks from NYC concentration and observatory impairments.
ESRT shows stable revenues and improving leasing metrics, with solid liquidity and no near-term maturity wall disclosed. The key offsets are NYC concentration and weaker observatory outlook (including a large non-cash impairment in 2026). On enterprise-value multiples and price vs. core-FFO guidance, the stock screens inexpensive, supporting a 4/5 score despite sector uncertainty.
Sentiment
weakSentiment is negative with repeated 12-month lows and consensus sell ratings, lacking offsetting catalysts.
No actionable forward catalyst exists in the 1–30d horizon; the only in-window driver is bearish sell-side pressure (target cuts to ~$5.00, consensus sell) behind repeated 12-month lows, while the determinate sentiment delta is essentially flat (baseline ≈ +0.06 → scoring ≈ −0.004) with both company-specific in-window items scored −0.5. Moderate red-flag cap applied (in-window deterioration with no offsetting bullish catalyst) and a clean legal screen; the setup is weak/absent.
Technical
weakThe stock is in a strong downtrend, trading below key moving averages with no bullish setup.
Persistent downtrend near the 12-month low (4.23 vs year low 4.13). Price sits below every key average — SMA20 4.53, SMA50 4.96, SMA200 5.66, EMA9 4.34, EMA21 4.51 — with all of them sloping down. ADX14 at 32.59 (>25) confirms a strong trend, and with price below all MAs and MACD negative (−0.19/−0.19), that strong trend is DOWN, not up. Momentum is oversold-adjacent (RSI14 31.19, Williams %R −85.07) which supports at best a bounce, not a trend-aligned bullish setup. No tradable long setup exists; chart quality scores 2 (weak/bounce-only).
You’re looking at 2026-09-15 — more than 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.