Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)
Consumer Cyclical
- Fundamental
- 3
- Sentiment
- 3
- Technical
- 2
Do Nothing: technicalScore 2 (below the falling SMA20/50 and EMA9/21 with MACD -0.53/-0.29/-0.24 and ADX 27.9 rising in a down move — bounce-only, not a trend setup) is below the required 3; a pullback/oversold limit is countertrend-blocked (price 8.07 < SMA50 9.54 with MACD < 0), and no breakout stop qualifies either — no consolidation/momentum basis in this tape, and the nearest settled resistance trigger 8.86 (09-15 high 8.85) gives R/R 0.97 (< 1.0).
Company overview
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates a portfolio of dining establishments, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. The company manages over 1,000 restaurants in the U.S. and has international operations in 17 countries and Guam. Founded in 1988, it is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
Fundamental
fairBloomin' Brands shows potential for a value turnaround but faces significant balance-sheet risks and thin profitability.
Turnaround value story with real balance-sheet risk: recent SEC filings show improving quarterly profitability and raised EPS guidance, and the stock trades at low EV/Sales (0.70) with a high free-cash-flow yield (16.78%). Offsetting that, profitability remains thin (TTM net margin ~0.70%) and leverage metrics are heavy (net debt/EBITDA 7.90; Altman Z-Score 0.93), so the investment case depends on sustained margin improvement and gradual deleveraging.
Sentiment
fairPost-earnings sentiment is modestly positive, but conflicting analyst views limit clear upside potential.
Coverage turned mildly positive after Bloomin’ Brands’ Q2 earnings beat and raised FY outlook (announced 2026-08-05), with last ~14d sentiment modestly positive (polarity_score ≈ +0.13) and roughly flat versus the prior 30–90d baseline (~+0.16). Conflicting sell-side framing (upgrade headlines vs price-target commentary implying limited upside) triggers a moderate red-flag cap, while the legal/investigation screen shows no regulator-confirmed actions.
Technical
weakThe stock is in a downtrend with oversold conditions, lacking a tradable long setup.
Trend frame: price 8.07 sits below the falling SMA20 (9.64), SMA50 (9.54), EMA9 (8.57), EMA21 (9.22), WMA9 (8.32), WMA21 (9.08) and DEMA14 (8.17); the only averages beneath price are SMA200 (7.55) and TEMA14 (7.76). Momentum frame: RSI14 32.42 and Williams %R -94.41 are deeply oversold, but MACD (-0.53 line / -0.29 signal / -0.24 histogram) is negative and still deteriorating below zero — momentum has not turned. ADX14 27.87 (>25) with price below the short MA stack is a strengthening DOWN move, not accumulation. Volatility: ATR14 0.51 (6.32% of price), StdDev20 1.15. Volume: 20-day avg dollar volume $19.7M (floor passed); recent 3-session regular avg $16.2M (passed). Score 2: weak bearish / bounce-only — the oversold RSI/Williams is the only bullish note and supports at most a reflexive bounce, not a 1-15 day swing long; trend and momentum are down, so the chart does not clear the 3 floor for entry.
You’re looking at 2026-09-18 — more than 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.